Liga de Expansión MX
28/03/2026 • 01:00
Finished
F. Cruz Garatachea
Home scorers
- 78' S. Meza
Away scorers
- 16' D. Munoz
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Rank#13
Played14
Points13
PPG0.93
Goal Diff-9
D
L
D
W
D
Leones Negros UDG
6#Rank
14Played
21Points
1.5PPG
2Goal Diff
W
W
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.45
1-0
10.1%
9.87
2-1
9.4%
10.68
2-0
8.0%
12.47
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
32% · 3.11
Draw
33% · 3.03
Leones Negros UDG
35% · 2.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.93
Under 48% · 2.07
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.16
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.38
Under 70% · 1.42
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.