Premier League
04/03/2026 • 19:30
Finished
Villa Park (Birmingham)
J. Gillett
Home scorers
- 2' Douglas Luiz (L. Bailey)
Away scorers
- 35' Joao Pedro (M. Gusto)
- 45' Joao Pedro (E. Fernandez)
- 55' C. Palmer (Joao Pedro)
- 64' Joao Pedro (A. Garnacho)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Aston Villa
Rank#4
Played28
Points51
PPG1.82
Goal Diff8
L
D
W
D
L
Chelsea
6#Rank
28Played
45Points
1.61PPG
16Goal Diff
L
D
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.12
0-1
9.6%
10.44
1-0
8.9%
11.27
1-2
8.6%
11.68
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.84
NO
46% · 2.19
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Aston Villa
25% · 4.03
Draw
34% · 2.98
Chelsea
42% · 2.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.0
Under 50% · 2.0
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34
Under 25% · 3.95
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.57
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.