Primera A
07/04/2026 • 01:10
Finished
Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellin)
Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara, Colombia
Home scorers
- 16' A. Sarmiento (A. Morelos)
- 69' E. Bello (A. Sarmiento)
Away scorers
- 37' Jopito (Y. Moreno)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Atletico Nacional
Rank#3
Played20
Points37
PPG1.85
Goal Diff14
L
W
L
D
D
Jaguares
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
1-0
24.6%
4.06
0-0
21.7%
4.6
2-0
14.0%
7.16
1-1
9.7%
10.32
Both Teams To Score
YES
22% · 4.53
NO
78% · 1.28
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Nacional
53% · 1.89
Draw
40% · 2.53
Jaguares
8% · 13.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.05
Under 80% · 1.25
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.22
Under 55% · 1.82
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
93%
Over 7% · 14.51
Under 93% · 1.07
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.