League One
03/04/2026 • 14:00
Finished
Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)
K. Dowle
Home scorers
- 60' C. Webster (K. Lofthouse)
Away scorers
- 90' D. McGoldrick (M. Roberts)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Burton Albion
Rank#18
Played40
Points46
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-11
L
W
L
W
L
Barnsley
13#Rank
37Played
50Points
1.35PPG
-1Goal Diff
L
D
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Burton Albion 4+
14.8%
2-1
10.0%
10.02
1-1
9.7%
10.35
2-0
9.3%
10.71
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.75
NO
43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Burton Albion
40% · 2.5
Draw
31% · 3.28
Barnsley
29% · 3.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66
Under 40% · 2.53
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22
Under 18% · 5.52
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64
Under 62% · 1.61
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.