Primera A
23/03/2026 • 19:00
Finished
Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)
Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Home scorers
- 39' A. Aedo (D. A. Ramirez Raigosa)
Away scorers
- 90' Y. Moreno (A. Parra Osorio)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Chico
Rank#19
Played20
Points16
PPG0.8
Goal Diff-15
L
L
L
W
D
Deportes Tolima
2#Rank
20Played
38Points
1.9PPG
12Goal Diff
L
L
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
21.4%
4.68
0-1
17.8%
5.63
1-0
15.2%
6.57
1-1
12.7%
7.91
Both Teams To Score
YES
29% · 3.48
NO
71% · 1.4
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Chico
21% · 4.73
Draw
40% · 2.52
Deportes Tolima
39% · 2.55
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.95
Under 80% · 1.25
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19
Under 54% · 1.84
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
93%
Over 7% · 14.04
Under 93% · 1.08
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.