Primera A
29/03/2026 • 23:20
LIVE
Live
Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)
Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Home scorers
- 27' A. Estupinan
Away scorers
- 22' A. Morelos (E. Bello)
- 78' J. Rengifo (E. Cardona)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Deportivo Pasto
Rank#17
Played20
Points19
PPG0.95
Goal Diff-2
W
L
W
L
D
Atletico Nacional
3#Rank
20Played
37Points
1.85PPG
14Goal Diff
L
W
L
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.5%
6.44
1-1
12.2%
8.22
2-0
11.3%
8.87
0-0
10.7%
9.37
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.4
NO
58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Deportivo Pasto
36% · 2.79
Draw
34% · 2.94
Atletico Nacional
30% · 3.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58
Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.89
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.33
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.