Championship
06/04/2026 • 14:00
Not started
Pride Park (Derby)
E. Bell

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Derby
Rank#7
Played36
Points54
PPG1.5
Goal Diff7
W W L L W
Stoke City
15#Rank
36Played
47Points
1.31PPG
3Goal Diff
L L W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.6%
6.01
2-0
12.5%
8.03
1-1
11.7%
8.58
0-0
11.1%
9.0
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.56
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Derby 52% · 1.93
Draw 34% · 2.97
Stoke City 14% · 6.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.66 Under 62% · 1.6
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.55 Under 36% · 2.81
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.57 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.