Primera División
04/04/2026 • 20:30
Finished
Estadio de la UNSA (Arequipa)
Kevin Ortega, Peru
Home scorers
- 21' Jesus Alcantar (Nicolás Quagliata)
Away scorers
- 1' Gabriel Carabajal
- 4' Facundo Callejo
- 61' Facundo Callejo (Jose Bolivar)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
FBC Melgar
Rank#7
Played17
Points25
PPG1.47
Goal Diff7
D
W
L
W
D
Cusco
2#Rank
17Played
36Points
2.12PPG
14Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
FBC Melgar 4+
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
9.83
1-0
10.1%
9.88
2-1
10.0%
10.0
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.85
NO
46% · 2.18
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
FBC Melgar
41% · 2.46
Draw
31% · 3.26
Cusco
29% · 3.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74
Under 43% · 2.34
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 4.98
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.87
Under 65% · 1.53
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.