Premiership
11/02/2026 • 19:45
Finished
Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)
G. Irvine
Home scorers
- 43' G. Kiltie (F. Curtis)
- 45' T. John-Jules
- 76' T. John-Jules
- 82' T. John-Jules (R. Deas)
Away scorers
- 8' K. Phillips (M. Mandron)
- 47' K. Phillips
- 90' S. Tanser (A. Gogic)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Kilmarnock
Rank#11
Played25
Points17
PPG0.68
Goal Diff-24
L
W
L
D
L
ST Mirren
9#Rank
24Played
23Points
0.96PPG
-13Goal Diff
W
D
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.93
1-0
11.0%
9.11
0-1
9.1%
11.04
2-1
8.8%
11.39
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.95
NO
49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Kilmarnock
42% · 2.35
Draw
27% · 3.77
ST Mirren
31% · 3.23
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.15
Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.58
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.99
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.