A-League
02/04/2026 • 08:35
Finished
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Shane Skinner, Australia
Home scorers
- 10' M. Duke (R. Duran)
- 23' R. Duran (M. Duke)
- 68' M. Duke (C. Talbot)
Away scorers
- 13' X. Bertoncello (K. Grozos)
- 45' X. Bertoncello (D. Wilmering)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Macarthur
Rank#6
Played22
Points28
PPG1.27
Goal Diff-8
W
L
L
L
L
Newcastle Jets
1#Rank
22Played
43Points
1.95PPG
13Goal Diff
W
L
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Newcastle Jets 4+
12.7%
Macarthur 4+
10.6%
1-1
7.8%
12.76
1-2
7.8%
12.76
Both Teams To Score
YES
73% · 1.37
NO
27% · 3.72
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Macarthur
26% · 3.82
Draw
31% · 3.26
Newcastle Jets
43% · 2.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.87
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
90%
Over 90% · 1.11
Under 10% · 9.82
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86
Under 46% · 2.17
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.