UEFA Champions League
17/03/2026 • 20:00
Finished
Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
C. Turpin
Home scorers
- 41' E. Haaland
Away scorers
- 22' Vinicius Junior
- 90' Vinicius Junior (A. Tchouameni)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Manchester City
Rank#8
Played8
Points16
PPG2.0
Goal Diff6
W
L
W
L
W
Real Madrid
9#Rank
8Played
15Points
1.88PPG
9Goal Diff
L
W
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Manchester City 4+
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
9.8
2-0
10.2%
9.83
1-1
10.0%
9.97
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.85
NO
46% · 2.18
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Manchester City
40% · 2.48
Draw
31% · 3.25
Real Madrid
29% · 3.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76
Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26
Under 20% · 4.91
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.9
Under 66% · 1.53
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.