A-League
05/04/2026 • 05:00
Finished
AAMI Park (Melbourne)
Nathan Shakespear, Australia
Home scorers
No goals yet.
Away scorers
- 89' S. Kartum (I. Eze)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
55%
Team Context
Melbourne Victory
Rank#4
Played22
Points35
PPG1.59
Goal Diff10
W
W
D
D
W
Wellington Phoenix
8#Rank
22Played
27Points
1.23PPG
-8Goal Diff
W
W
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Melbourne Victory 4+
30.3%
2-1
8.6%
11.59
3-1
8.3%
12.02
2-0
7.2%
13.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
66% · 1.52
NO
34% · 2.93
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Melbourne Victory
61% · 1.64
Draw
27% · 3.68
Wellington Phoenix
12% · 8.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
91%
Over 91% · 1.1
Under 9% · 11.43
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75
Under 43% · 2.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.