Primera División RFEF - Group 1
28/03/2026 • 17:30
Finished
Estadio Romano Jose Fouto (Mérida)
Home scorers
- 11' S. El Ftouhi
- 45' C. Doncel
Away scorers
- 27' A. Escobar
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Mérida AD
Rank#11
Played29
Points41
PPG1.41
Goal Diff-1
D
L
D
D
W
Racing Ferrol
9#Rank
29Played
42Points
1.45PPG
1Goal Diff
D
D
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.08
1-0
11.5%
8.68
2-1
9.2%
10.93
2-0
8.5%
11.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.97
NO
49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Mérida AD
46% · 2.18
Draw
34% · 2.97
Racing Ferrol
21% · 4.88
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13
Under 53% · 1.88
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38
Under 28% · 3.61
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.95
Under 75% · 1.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.