National League - North
10/03/2026 • 19:45
Finished
Penydarren Park (Merthyr Tydfil)
Home scorers
- 11' M. Harris
Away scorers
- 5' F. Shrimpton
- 90' D. Mottley-Henry
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Merthyr Town
Rank#3
Played37
Points66
PPG1.78
Goal Diff19
W
L
W
L
W
Chester
10#Rank
37Played
53Points
1.43PPG
-4Goal Diff
W
W
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Merthyr Town 4+
15.8%
2-1
9.4%
10.68
1-1
8.7%
11.45
3-1
6.7%
14.97
Both Teams To Score
YES
67% · 1.5
NO
33% · 2.99
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Merthyr Town
51% · 1.98
Draw
31% · 3.28
Chester
19% · 5.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46
Under 31% · 3.18
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15
Under 13% · 7.58
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13
Under 53% · 1.89
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.