National League - North
07/02/2026 • 15:00
Finished
Penydarren Park (Merthyr Tydfil)
Home scorers
- 11' K. Rai
- 25' T. Handley
Away scorers
- 32' W. Clarke
- 38' A. Popoola
- 90' T. Carr
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
62%
Team Context
Merthyr Town
Rank#3
Played30
Points56
PPG1.87
Goal Diff14
L
L
L
W
W
Chorley
15#Rank
28Played
35Points
1.25PPG
3Goal Diff
D
L
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
3% · 30.4
NO
97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Merthyr Town
15% · 6.61
Draw
70% · 1.43
Chorley
15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0
Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23
Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0
Under 100% · 1.0
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.