Major League Soccer
04/04/2026 • 23:30
Finished
Citi Field (New York)
Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA
Home scorers
- 50' H. Wolf (M. Moralez)
Away scorers
- 90' B. McSorley (L. MacNaughton)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
New York City FC
Rank#5
Played34
Points56
PPG1.65
Goal Diff6
L
L
W
L
W
St. Louis City
13#Rank
34Played
32Points
0.94PPG
-14Goal Diff
D
W
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
New York City FC 4+
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
9.46
2-0
10.5%
9.56
1-1
10.1%
9.9
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.89
NO
47% · 2.13
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
New York City FC
55% · 1.83
Draw
31% · 3.25
St. Louis City
15% · 6.86
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.27
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.76
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.98
Under 66% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.