Primera División RFEF - Group 1
04/04/2026 • 19:00
Finished
Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)
Home scorers
- 36' E. Undabarrena
- 45' Slavy
- 84' P. Ferrer
- 90' P. Ferrer
Away scorers
- 68' S. Hallsson
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Ponferradina
Rank#6
Played30
Points44
PPG1.47
Goal Diff7
D
W
D
L
W
Mérida AD
7#Rank
30Played
44Points
1.47PPG
0Goal Diff
W
D
L
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.34
1-1
12.5%
7.98
2-0
9.8%
10.21
0-0
9.5%
10.54
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.18
NO
54% · 1.85
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ponferradina
47% · 2.11
Draw
34% · 2.93
Mérida AD
18% · 5.41
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39
Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.14
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.73
Under 79% · 1.27
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.