Primera División - Apertura
26/03/2026 • 16:00
Finished
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)
Andres Matonte, Uruguay
Home scorers
- 18' R. Dudok
Away scorers
- 53' F. De Leon
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Racing Montevideo
Rank#3
Played7
Points13
PPG1.86
Goal Diff5
D
W
W
L
L
Progreso
6#Rank
7Played
6Points
0.86PPG
-6Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.36
2-0
12.2%
8.17
1-1
10.7%
9.37
Racing Montevideo 4+
10.6%
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.2
NO
55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Racing Montevideo
57% · 1.76
Draw
34% · 2.98
Progreso
10% · 10.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.1
Under 52% · 1.91
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.7
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.85
Under 74% · 1.35
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.