UEFA Champions League
25/02/2026 • 20:00
Finished
Bernabéu (Madrid)
S. Vincic
Home scorers
- 16' A. Tchouameni (F. Valverde)
- 80' Vinicius Junior (F. Valverde)
Away scorers
- 14' Rafa Silva
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Real Madrid
Rank#9
Played8
Points15
PPG1.88
Goal Diff9
L
W
L
W
L
Benfica
24#Rank
8Played
9Points
1.13PPG
-2Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
12.0%
1-0
10.7%
9.31
1-1
10.5%
9.51
2-0
10.2%
9.83
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.89
NO
47% · 2.13
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Madrid
59% · 1.71
Draw
22% · 4.5
Benfica
19% · 5.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.83
Under 45% · 2.2
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.55
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.1
Under 68% · 1.48
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.