Championship
11/04/2026 • 14:00
Not started
St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Southampton
Rank#8
Played35
Points53
PPG1.51
Goal Diff11
W
W
D
W
W
Derby
7#Rank
36Played
54Points
1.5PPG
7Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.21
1-0
11.0%
9.09
2-1
9.3%
10.8
2-0
8.4%
11.96
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.91
NO
48% · 2.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Southampton
46% · 2.17
Draw
33% · 3.0
Derby
21% · 4.85
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.05
Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36
Under 26% · 3.81
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.71
Under 73% · 1.37
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.