Segunda Liga
04/04/2026 • 10:00
Finished
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)
Marcio Torres, Portugal
Home scorers
- 21' P. Cardoso
Away scorers
- 77' A. Santos (Ze Leite)
- 90' Reko
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Sporting CP B
Rank#6
Played27
Points41
PPG1.52
Goal Diff13
W
L
L
L
L
Penafiel
15#Rank
27Played
29Points
1.07PPG
-4Goal Diff
L
L
D
D
D
Most Likely Scores
0-0
25.3%
3.95
1-0
22.7%
4.4
0-1
12.0%
8.31
1-1
10.8%
9.24
Both Teams To Score
YES
22% · 4.45
NO
78% · 1.29
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sporting CP B
30% · 3.29
Draw
40% · 2.48
Penafiel
29% · 3.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.23
Under 84% · 1.19
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5
Under 60% · 1.67
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
95%
Over 5% · 19.65
Under 95% · 1.05
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.