Championship
14/03/2026 • 15:00
Finished
Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)
L. Doughty
Home scorers
- 28' M. Manhoef (M. Smit)
- 77' M. Manhoef
- 85' S. Gallagher (S. Thomas)
Away scorers
- 81' N. Irankunda (G. Chakvetadze)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Stoke City
Rank#15
Played36
Points47
PPG1.31
Goal Diff3
L
L
W
D
L
Watford
9#Rank
35Played
51Points
1.46PPG
4Goal Diff
W
L
W
D
L
Most Likely Scores
0-0
17.2%
5.83
1-0
15.4%
6.5
0-1
14.9%
6.72
1-1
13.3%
7.51
Both Teams To Score
YES
34% · 2.92
NO
66% · 1.52
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Stoke City
25% · 4.08
Draw
38% · 2.63
Watford
38% · 2.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.86
Under 74% · 1.35
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.9
Under 47% · 2.11
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
90%
Over 10% · 9.74
Under 90% · 1.11
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.