Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
March 29, 2026
AD Parla
1–1
FT
Móstoles
We predicted
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 29 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
AD Parla
Rank#17
Played27
Points25
PPG0.93
Goal Diff-24
W
L
L
L
W
Móstoles
3#Rank
27Played
48Points
1.78PPG
12Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.34
0-1
10.7%
9.38
1-2
9.4%
10.7
0-2
8.3%
12.03
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.88
NO
47% · 2.14
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AD Parla
20% · 4.88
Draw
33% · 3.02
Móstoles
46% · 2.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99
Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34
Under 25% · 3.97
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.55
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AD Parla
W
L
L
L
W
Móstoles
L
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
AD Parla
Stat
Móstoles
1.13
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.56
#17
League Pos.
#3
25 pts
Points
48 pts
0.93
Points / Game
1.78
-24
Goal Diff.
+12
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
AD Parla
Draw
Móstoles
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
A Madrid III
|
29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | +29 | 54 |
| 2 |
Las Rozas
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Leganés II
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +32 | 50 |
| 4 |
Móstoles
A
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 49 |
| 5 |
Torrejón
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Trival Valderas
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +8 | 47 |
| 7 |
Unión Adarve
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 |
SS Reyes II
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Alcobendas Sport
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |
Villaverde-Boetticher
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |
Galapagar
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |
Pozuelo Alarcón
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |
Alcorcón II
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 |
Carabanchel
|
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 |
Tres Cantos
|
29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -20 | 30 |
| 16 |
Villanueva Pardillo
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -14 | 29 |
| 17 |
AD Parla
H
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 26 |
| 18 |
Racing Madrid
|
29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -28 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.