Premier League
April 5, 2026
Adama Kenema
12:00
VS
Negelle Arsi
Predicted score
0-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Adama Kenema
Rank#7
Played24
Points33
PPG1.38
Goal Diff-1
L
L
D
D
W
Negelle Arsi
3#Rank
24Played
38Points
1.58PPG
6Goal Diff
L
D
D
L
D
Most Likely Scores
0-0
17.1%
5.86
0-1
15.7%
6.37
1-0
14.5%
6.91
1-1
13.3%
7.51
Both Teams To Score
YES
34% · 2.91
NO
66% · 1.52
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Adama Kenema
23% · 4.38
Draw
38% · 2.64
Negelle Arsi
39% · 2.55
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.83
Under 74% · 1.35
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.9
Under 47% · 2.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
90%
Over 10% · 9.65
Under 90% · 1.12
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Adama Kenema
L
L
D
D
W
Negelle Arsi
L
D
D
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Adama Kenema
Stat
Negelle Arsi
0.85
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#7
League Pos.
#3
33 pts
Points
38 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.58
-1
Goal Diff.
+6
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
0 D
1 W
Adama Kenema
Draw
Negelle Arsi
3
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sidama Bunna
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | +17 | 48 |
| 2 |
Awassa Kenema
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 40 |
| 3 |
Negelle Arsi
A
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +6 | 38 |
| 4 |
Mebrat Hayl
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 38 |
| 5 |
Mekelakeya
|
25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | +10 | 37 |
| 6 |
Fasil Ketema
|
25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | +2 | 36 |
| 7 |
Ethiopia Bunna
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +0 | 35 |
| 8 |
Adama Kenema
H
|
24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 |
Bahardar
|
25 | 6 | 14 | 5 | +0 | 32 |
| 10 |
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
|
25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | +0 | 31 |
| 11 |
Sheger Ketema
|
25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 |
Hadiya Hosaena
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |
Dire Dawa Kenema
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 |
| 14 |
Welayta Dicha
|
25 | 5 | 13 | 7 | +0 | 28 |
| 15 |
Ethiopian Medhin
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | +0 | 28 |
| 16 |
Kedus Giorgis
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 28 |
| 17 |
Suhul Shire
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 |
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
|
24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Mekelle Kenema
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 |
Arba Minch Kenema
|
25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.