Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
April 1, 2026
Agoncillo
4–1
FT
Peña Balsamaiso
We predicted
Agoncillo 4+
48% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, April 1 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Agoncillo 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Agoncillo 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
48%
Team Context
Agoncillo
Rank#7
Played28
Points43
PPG1.54
Goal Diff12
W
D
L
L
W
Peña Balsamaiso
18#Rank
28Played
11Points
0.39PPG
-42Goal Diff
D
L
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Agoncillo 4+
21.8%
2-0
10.2%
9.81
2-1
9.7%
10.36
1-0
8.3%
11.99
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.79
NO
44% · 2.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Agoncillo
62% · 1.61
Draw
30% · 3.3
Peña Balsamaiso
8% · 12.94
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.89
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.18
Under 15% · 6.67
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31
Under 57% · 1.76
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Agoncillo
W
D
L
L
W
Peña Balsamaiso
D
L
D
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Agoncillo
Stat
Peña Balsamaiso
2.44
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#7
League Pos.
#18
43 pts
Points
11 pts
1.54
Points / Game
0.39
+12
Goal Diff.
-42
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
UD Logroñés II
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | +58 | 71 |
| 2 |
Varea
|
29 | 20 | 5 | 4 | +24 | 65 |
| 3 |
Arnedo
|
29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | +40 | 59 |
| 4 |
Oyonesa
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 5 |
Calahorra
|
28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | +44 | 49 |
| 6 |
Anguiano
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +8 | 49 |
| 7 |
Agoncillo
H
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 8 |
Haro Deportivo
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 45 |
| 9 |
Yagüe
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Vianés
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 |
San Marcial
|
29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 |
Berceo
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 |
Comillas
|
29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | -23 | 31 |
| 14 |
La Calzada
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -15 | 30 |
| 15 |
Pradejón
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -16 | 29 |
| 16 |
Villegas
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 |
Autol
|
29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | -52 | 13 |
| 18 |
Peña Balsamaiso
A
|
29 | 0 | 11 | 18 | -45 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.