Eredivisie
February 21, 2026
Ajax
1–1
FT
NEC Nijmegen
We predicted
1-1
25% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Ajax
Rank#4
Played23
Points42
PPG1.83
Goal Diff16
W
D
D
W
D
NEC Nijmegen
3#Rank
23Played
42Points
1.83PPG
19Goal Diff
D
L
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.6%
9.42
Ajax 4+
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
10.37
1-0
8.5%
11.74
Both Teams To Score
YES
60% · 1.68
NO
40% · 2.48
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ajax
51% · 1.97
Draw
23% · 4.33
NEC Nijmegen
26% · 3.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.7
Under 41% · 2.43
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24
Under 19% · 5.24
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.74
Under 64% · 1.57
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Ajax
W
D
D
W
D
NEC Nijmegen
D
L
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Ajax
Stat
NEC Nijmegen
1.82
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.25
#4
League Pos.
#3
42 pts
Points
42 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.83
+16
Goal Diff.
+19
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Ajax
Draw
NEC Nijmegen
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 54 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
A
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
H
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.