Eredivisie Eredivisie March 14, 2026
Ajax

Ajax

40
FT
Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Ajax
Rank#5
Played26
Points44
PPG1.69
Goal Diff14
L D D W D
Sparta Rotterdam
7#Rank
26Played
38Points
1.46PPG
-10Goal Diff
D L L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.9%
7.78
2-0
11.9%
8.4
Ajax 4+
11.4%
1-1
10.5%
9.51
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.12
NO 53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ajax 55% · 1.82
Draw 31% · 3.19
Sparta Rotterdam 14% · 7.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.01 Under 50% · 1.99
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.6 Under 72% · 1.38

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ajax Ajax
L D D W D
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
D L L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Ajax
Stat
Sparta Rotterdam
1.85
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#5
League Pos.
#7
44 pts
Points
38 pts
1.69
Points / Game
1.46
+14
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
3 D
0 W
Ajax
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
18 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
29 23 2 4 +42 71
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
29 16 6 7 +21 54
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
29 15 8 6 +24 53
4
Twente Twente
29 13 11 5 +18 50
5
Ajax Ajax H
29 12 12 5 +17 48
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
29 13 6 10 +4 45
7
Heerenveen Heerenveen
29 12 8 9 +6 44
8
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam A
29 12 6 11 -12 42
9
Utrecht Utrecht
29 11 8 10 +10 41
10
Groningen Groningen
29 12 5 12 +5 41
11
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
29 8 11 10 +5 35
12
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
29 10 5 14 -11 35
13
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
29 8 9 12 -20 33
14
FC Volendam FC Volendam
29 7 7 15 -18 28
15
Telstar Telstar
29 6 9 14 -10 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
29 7 6 16 -20 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
29 5 9 15 -21 24
18
Heracles Heracles
29 5 4 20 -40 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record