Pro League
February 19, 2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4–1
FT
Al Najma
We predicted
Al-Ahli Jeddah 4+
39% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, February 19 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Al-Ahli Jeddah 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Al-Ahli Jeddah 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Rank#3
Played21
Points50
PPG2.38
Goal Diff26
W
W
D
W
W
Al Najma
18#Rank
21Played
8Points
0.38PPG
-22Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Al-Ahli Jeddah 4+
20.3%
2-0
14.9%
6.72
1-0
12.6%
7.91
3-0
11.7%
8.56
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.51
NO
60% · 1.66
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al-Ahli Jeddah
77% · 1.3
Draw
16% · 6.4
Al Najma
7% · 13.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.26
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.74
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.02
Under 67% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah
W
W
D
W
W
Al Najma
W
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Stat
Al Najma
2.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.58
#3
League Pos.
#18
50 pts
Points
8 pts
2.38
Points / Game
0.38
+26
Goal Diff.
-22
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Draw
Al Najma
6
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr
|
27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | +55 | 70 |
| 2 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +44 | 65 |
| 3 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
H
|
27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | +35 | 65 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | +36 | 60 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +14 | 46 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 45 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | -7 | 42 |
| 8 |
NEOM
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 |
Al-Fayha
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
Al Khaleej Saihat
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | +0 | 31 |
| 11 |
Al-Hazm
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 |
Al Shabab
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 |
Al-Fateh
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood
|
27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 |
Damac
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -24 | 20 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood
|
27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 |
Al Najma
A
|
27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | -41 | 8 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.