Stars League Stars League March 18, 2026
Al-Gharafa

Al-Gharafa

14
FT
Al Ahli Doha

Al Ahli Doha

We predicted

Al-Gharafa 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Al-Gharafa 4+
|
Actual 1–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Al-Gharafa
Rank#3
Played18
Points34
PPG1.89
Goal Diff4
L W L L L
Al Ahli Doha
11#Rank
18Played
16Points
0.89PPG
-15Goal Diff
D L L L L
Most Likely Scores
Al-Gharafa 4+
12.4%
1-1
8.8%
11.33
2-1
8.6%
11.56
Al Ahli Doha 4+
7.5%
Both Teams To Score
YES 69% · 1.45
NO 31% · 3.25
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Al-Gharafa 45% · 2.21
Draw 31% · 3.22
Al Ahli Doha 24% · 4.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44 Under 30% · 3.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.14 Under 13% · 7.91
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa
L W L L L
Al Ahli Doha Al Ahli Doha
D L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Al-Gharafa
Stat
Al Ahli Doha
1.96
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.64
#3
League Pos.
#11
34 pts
Points
16 pts
1.89
Points / Game
0.89
+4
Goal Diff.
-15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Sadd Al Sadd
20 12 3 5 +23 39
2
Al Shamal Al Shamal
19 11 4 4 +11 37
3
Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa H
20 11 1 8 +0 34
4
Al-Rayyan SC Al-Rayyan SC
20 9 5 6 +7 32
5
Al-Arabi SC Al-Arabi SC
19 9 4 6 +1 31
6
Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC
20 8 6 6 +13 30
7
Qatar SC Qatar SC
19 8 4 7 +0 28
8
Al Wakrah Al Wakrah
20 7 5 8 +0 26
9
Al Ahli Doha Al Ahli Doha A
20 6 2 12 -12 20
10
UMM Salal UMM Salal
20 6 2 12 -14 20
11
Al-Sailiya Al-Sailiya
19 5 4 10 -10 19
12
Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya
20 5 2 13 -19 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record