Iraqi League Iraqi League March 12, 2026
Al-Karma

Al-Karma

30
FT
Gharraf

Gharraf

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 12 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Al-Karma
Rank#5
Played21
Points38
PPG1.81
Goal Diff13
L L W D D
Gharraf
10#Rank
21Played
29Points
1.38PPG
2Goal Diff
L L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.8%
7.26
1-1
13.1%
7.66
0-0
10.7%
9.33
0-1
10.2%
9.85
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.26
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al-Karma 45% · 2.24
Draw 35% · 2.86
Gharraf 20% · 4.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.59 Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53 Under 35% · 2.89
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.35 Under 81% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al-Karma Al-Karma
L L W D D
Gharraf Gharraf
L L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Al-Karma
Stat
Gharraf
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#5
League Pos.
#10
38 pts
Points
29 pts
1.81
Points / Game
1.38
+13
Goal Diff.
+2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Al-Karma
Draw
Gharraf
4 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
25 18 5 2 +22 59
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
25 15 7 3 +17 52
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Zakho Zakho
26 13 7 6 +12 46
7
Al-Karma Al-Karma H
26 12 8 6 +15 44
8
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
9
Newroz Newroz
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
12
Naft Naft
25 8 9 8 +3 33
13
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
14
Gharraf Gharraf A
25 9 5 11 -2 32
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
25 6 8 11 -5 26
16
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
25 5 7 13 -15 22
17
Baghdad Baghdad
26 6 4 16 -19 22
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
25 6 3 16 -11 21
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
25 0 2 23 -51 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record