Iraqi League
March 18, 2026
Al Minaa Basra
1–1
FT
Diyala
We predicted
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, March 18 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Al Minaa Basra
Rank#14
Played22
Points24
PPG1.09
Goal Diff-4
L
W
W
L
L
Diyala
11#Rank
21Played
28Points
1.33PPG
3Goal Diff
L
L
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.57
0-1
11.7%
8.54
1-0
11.0%
9.06
0-0
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.12
NO
53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al Minaa Basra
39% · 2.6
Draw
35% · 2.86
Diyala
27% · 3.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44
Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48
Under 33% · 3.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.87
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Al Minaa Basra
L
W
W
L
L
Diyala
L
L
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Al Minaa Basra
Stat
Diyala
1.13
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#14
League Pos.
#11
24 pts
Points
28 pts
1.09
Points / Game
1.33
-4
Goal Diff.
+3
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
0 W
Al Minaa Basra
Draw
Diyala
7
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 59 |
| 2 |
Al Shorta
|
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 |
Erbil
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +17 | 52 |
| 4 |
Al Talaba
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |
Al Zawra'a
|
26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Zakho
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +12 | 46 |
| 7 |
Al-Karma
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 44 |
| 8 |
Al Karkh
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 44 |
| 9 |
Newroz
|
26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Duhok
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 37 |
| 11 |
Diyala
A
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Naft
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Mosul
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |
Gharraf
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 |
Al Minaa Basra
H
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 |
Naft Maysan
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 |
Baghdad
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 |
Al Kahrabaa
|
25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -11 | 21 |
| 19 |
Al Najaf
|
26 | 3 | 3 | 20 | -28 | 12 |
| 20 |
Al-Qasim
|
25 | 0 | 2 | 23 | -51 | 2 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.