Iraqi League Iraqi League March 17, 2026
Al Najaf

Al Najaf

12
FT
Mosul

Mosul

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Al Najaf
Rank#19
Played22
Points9
PPG0.41
Goal Diff-25
D L L L L
Mosul
15#Rank
21Played
23Points
1.1PPG
-10Goal Diff
L D W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.69
0-1
12.1%
8.26
1-0
10.0%
9.99
0-0
9.3%
10.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.09
NO 52% · 1.92
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al Najaf 18% · 5.42
Draw 37% · 2.73
Mosul 45% · 2.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.36 Under 58% · 1.73
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46 Under 31% · 3.18
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.64 Under 78% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al Najaf Al Najaf
D L L L L
Mosul Mosul
L D W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Al Najaf
Stat
Mosul
1.08
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.3
#19
League Pos.
#15
9 pts
Points
23 pts
0.41
Points / Game
1.1
-25
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
2 W
Al Najaf
Draw
Mosul
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
26 18 6 2 +22 60
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
26 15 8 3 +17 53
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Al-Karma Al-Karma
26 12 8 6 +15 44
7
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
8
Zakho Zakho
26 12 7 7 +8 43
9
Newroz Newroz
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Naft Naft
26 8 10 8 +3 34
12
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
13
Gharraf Gharraf
26 9 6 11 -2 33
14
Mosul Mosul A
26 9 6 11 -7 33
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
26 6 8 12 -6 26
16
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
26 6 7 13 -14 25
17
Baghdad Baghdad
26 7 4 15 -15 25
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
26 7 3 16 -8 24
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf H
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
26 0 2 24 -54 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record