Pro League
April 3, 2026
Al-Nassr
5–2
FT
Al Najma
We predicted
Al-Nassr 4+
73% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Al-Nassr 4+
|
Actual
5–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Al-Nassr 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
73%
Team Context
Al-Nassr
Rank#1
Played25
Points64
PPG2.56
Goal Diff47
W
W
W
W
W
Al Najma
18#Rank
25Played
8Points
0.32PPG
-36Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Al-Nassr 4+
56.4%
3-0
15.5%
6.46
2-0
10.7%
9.34
1-0
4.9%
20.24
Both Teams To Score
YES
26% · 3.92
NO
74% · 1.34
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al-Nassr
78% · 1.29
Draw
22% · 4.56
Al Najma
0% · 100.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.35
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 94% · 1.07
Under 6% · 15.55
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6
Under 38% · 2.66
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Al-Nassr
W
W
W
W
W
Al Najma
L
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Al-Nassr
Stat
Al Najma
4.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.3
#1
League Pos.
#18
64 pts
Points
8 pts
2.56
Points / Game
0.32
+47
Goal Diff.
-36
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Al-Nassr
Draw
Al Najma
12
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Nassr
H
|
27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | +55 | 70 |
| 2 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +44 | 65 |
| 3 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | +35 | 65 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | +36 | 60 |
| 5 |
Al Taawon
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +14 | 46 |
| 6 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 45 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | -7 | 42 |
| 8 |
NEOM
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 |
Al-Fayha
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
Al Khaleej Saihat
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | +0 | 31 |
| 11 |
Al-Hazm
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 |
Al Shabab
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 |
Al-Fateh
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 |
Al Kholood
|
27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 |
Damac
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 |
Al Riyadh
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -24 | 20 |
| 17 |
Al Okhdood
|
27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 |
Al Najma
A
|
27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | -41 | 8 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.