Iraqi League Iraqi League March 17, 2026
Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

31
FT
Baghdad

Baghdad

We predicted

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Rank#1
Played22
Points52
PPG2.36
Goal Diff19
W W W W W
Baghdad
18#Rank
21Played
19Points
0.9PPG
-15Goal Diff
L L L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.5%
7.4
1-1
11.4%
8.78
2-0
11.3%
8.82
2-1
9.6%
10.46
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 54% · 1.84
Draw 34% · 2.9
Baghdad 11% · 8.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17 Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4 Under 28% · 3.53
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.07 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
W W W W W
Baghdad Baghdad
L L L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Stat
Baghdad
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.84
#1
League Pos.
#18
52 pts
Points
19 pts
2.36
Points / Game
0.9
+19
Goal Diff.
-15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya H
26 18 6 2 +22 60
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
26 15 7 4 +14 52
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Al-Karma Al-Karma
26 12 8 6 +15 44
7
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
8
Zakho Zakho
26 12 7 7 +8 43
9
Newroz Newroz
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Naft Naft
26 8 10 8 +3 34
12
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
13
Gharraf Gharraf
26 9 6 11 -2 33
14
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
15
Baghdad Baghdad A
26 8 3 15 -12 27
16
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
26 6 8 12 -6 26
17
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
26 6 7 13 -14 25
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
26 7 3 16 -8 24
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
26 0 2 24 -54 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record