Iraqi League Iraqi League March 25, 2026
Al Talaba

Al Talaba

21
FT
Baghdad

Baghdad

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 25 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Al Talaba
Rank#4
Played23
Points44
PPG1.91
Goal Diff13
D W W W L
Baghdad
18#Rank
23Played
19Points
0.83PPG
-18Goal Diff
L L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.2%
8.95
1-1
11.0%
9.1
Al Talaba 4+
10.4%
2-0
10.0%
9.97
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.92
NO 48% · 2.09
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Al Talaba 54% · 1.86
Draw 34% · 2.95
Baghdad 12% · 8.12
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91 Under 48% · 2.1
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.25
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.31 Under 70% · 1.43

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al Talaba Al Talaba
D W W W L
Baghdad Baghdad
L L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Al Talaba
Stat
Baghdad
1.8
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#4
League Pos.
#18
44 pts
Points
19 pts
1.91
Points / Game
0.83
+13
Goal Diff.
-18

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Al Talaba
Draw
Baghdad
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
26 18 6 2 +22 60
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
26 15 8 3 +17 53
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba H
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Al-Karma Al-Karma
26 12 8 6 +15 44
7
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
8
Zakho Zakho
26 12 7 7 +8 43
9
Newroz Newroz
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Naft Naft
26 8 10 8 +3 34
12
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
13
Gharraf Gharraf
26 9 6 11 -2 33
14
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
26 6 8 12 -6 26
16
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
26 6 7 13 -14 25
17
Baghdad Baghdad A
26 7 4 15 -15 25
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
26 7 3 16 -8 24
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
26 0 2 24 -54 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record