La Liga
March 13, 2026
Alaves
1–1
FT
Villarreal
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Friday, March 13 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Alaves
Rank#16
Played27
Points27
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-12
L
L
D
D
L
Villarreal
4#Rank
27Played
54Points
2.0PPG
18Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.77
2-1
8.8%
11.42
1-0
8.1%
12.36
1-2
8.0%
12.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
59% · 1.69
NO
41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alaves
28% · 3.53
Draw
33% · 3.06
Villarreal
39% · 2.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.77
Under 44% · 2.29
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26
Under 21% · 4.81
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.95
Under 66% · 1.51
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alaves
L
L
D
D
L
Villarreal
W
L
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Alaves
Stat
Villarreal
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.41
#16
League Pos.
#4
27 pts
Points
54 pts
1.0
Points / Game
2.0
-12
Goal Diff.
+18
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Alaves
Draw
Villarreal
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
A
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Athletic Club
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
H
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.