Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 March 28, 2026
Alcorcón II

Alcorcón II

11
FT
Carabanchel

Carabanchel

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Alcorcón II
Rank#13
Played27
Points32
PPG1.19
Goal Diff-4
W D W D L
Carabanchel
16#Rank
27Played
27Points
1.0PPG
-6Goal Diff
D L L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.6%
6.84
1-1
13.4%
7.45
0-0
13.2%
7.57
0-1
12.1%
8.25
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.49
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alcorcón II 42% · 2.39
Draw 36% · 2.76
Carabanchel 22% · 4.56
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.03 Under 67% · 1.49
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.8 Under 85% · 1.17

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alcorcón II Alcorcón II
W D W D L
Carabanchel Carabanchel
D L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Alcorcón II
Stat
Carabanchel
1.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#13
League Pos.
#16
32 pts
Points
27 pts
1.19
Points / Game
1.0
-4
Goal Diff.
-6

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
A Madrid III A Madrid III
29 15 9 5 +29 54
2
Las Rozas Las Rozas
29 15 8 6 +18 53
3
Leganés II Leganés II
29 14 8 7 +32 50
4
Móstoles Móstoles
29 14 7 8 +11 49
5
Torrejón Torrejón
29 14 7 8 +8 49
6
Trival Valderas Trival Valderas
29 14 5 10 +8 47
7
Unión Adarve Unión Adarve
29 11 8 10 -3 41
8
SS Reyes II SS Reyes II
29 9 12 8 +5 39
9
Alcobendas Sport Alcobendas Sport
29 11 6 12 -3 39
10
Villaverde-Boetticher Villaverde-Boetticher
29 9 12 8 -4 39
11
Galapagar Galapagar
29 9 12 8 -8 39
12
Pozuelo Alarcón Pozuelo Alarcón
29 9 11 9 +1 38
13
Alcorcón II Alcorcón II H
29 9 9 11 -2 36
14
Carabanchel Carabanchel A
29 7 10 12 -4 31
15
Tres Cantos Tres Cantos
29 9 3 17 -20 30
16
Villanueva Pardillo Villanueva Pardillo
29 8 5 16 -14 29
17
AD Parla AD Parla
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Racing Madrid Racing Madrid
29 5 7 17 -28 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record