Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 29, 2026
Alhaurino

Alhaurino

21
FT
El Palo

El Palo

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Alhaurino
Rank#13
Played27
Points30
PPG1.11
Goal Diff-6
D L D D L
El Palo
17#Rank
27Played
23Points
0.85PPG
-20Goal Diff
W L D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.8%
7.84
2-0
11.4%
8.74
1-1
10.9%
9.19
Alhaurino 4+
10.4%
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.09
NO 52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alhaurino 40% · 2.52
Draw 32% · 3.15
El Palo 29% · 3.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04 Under 51% · 1.97
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.85
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.68 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alhaurino Alhaurino
D L D D L
El Palo El Palo
W L D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Alhaurino
Stat
El Palo
1.79
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#13
League Pos.
#17
30 pts
Points
23 pts
1.11
Points / Game
0.85
-6
Goal Diff.
-20

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino H
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo A
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record