Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 15, 2026
Alhaurino

Alhaurino

01
FT
Motril

Motril

We predicted

1-1 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Alhaurino
Rank#13
Played25
Points29
PPG1.16
Goal Diff-5
D D L L W
Motril
2#Rank
25Played
50Points
2.0PPG
23Goal Diff
W W D D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.2%
8.18
1-0
9.4%
10.67
0-1
8.8%
11.43
2-1
8.6%
11.7
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.82
NO 45% · 2.22
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alhaurino 28% · 3.63
Draw 33% · 2.99
Motril 39% · 2.56
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97 Under 49% · 2.03
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33 Under 25% · 4.03
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.5 Under 71% · 1.4

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alhaurino Alhaurino
D D L L W
Motril Motril
W W D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Alhaurino
Stat
Motril
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.31
#13
League Pos.
#2
29 pts
Points
50 pts
1.16
Points / Game
2.0
-5
Goal Diff.
+23

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril A
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino H
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record