Segunda División
February 1, 2026
Almeria
4–2
FT
AD Ceuta FC
We predicted
Almeria 4+
28% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, February 1 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Almeria 4+
|
Actual
4–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Almeria 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Almeria
Rank#6
Played23
Points36
PPG1.57
Goal Diff8
L
L
D
W
L
AD Ceuta FC
10#Rank
23Played
35Points
1.52PPG
-2Goal Diff
W
L
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Almeria 4+
16.5%
2-0
14.9%
6.7
1-0
13.9%
7.19
3-0
10.7%
9.35
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.52
NO
60% · 1.66
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Almeria
73% · 1.37
Draw
18% · 5.61
AD Ceuta FC
9% · 11.1
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95
Under 49% · 2.06
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.13
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.44
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Almeria
L
L
D
W
L
AD Ceuta FC
W
L
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Almeria
Stat
AD Ceuta FC
2.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.6
#6
League Pos.
#10
36 pts
Points
35 pts
1.57
Points / Game
1.52
+8
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
1 W
Almeria
Draw
AD Ceuta FC
11
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santander
|
34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | +14 | 62 |
| 2 |
Almeria
H
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +19 | 61 |
| 3 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +15 | 60 |
| 4 |
Las Palmas
|
34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | +17 | 57 |
| 5 |
Castellón
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 57 |
| 6 |
Malaga
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 57 |
| 7 |
Burgos
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +12 | 57 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |
Sporting Gijon
|
34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | +2 | 49 |
| 10 |
AD Ceuta FC
A
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 48 |
| 11 |
FC Andorra
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 46 |
| 12 |
Cordoba
|
34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 |
Albacete
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 14 |
Granada CF
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +2 | 42 |
| 15 |
Real Sociedad II
|
34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | -5 | 40 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | +1 | 39 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 38 |
| 19 |
Zaragoza
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -15 | 34 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -18 | 32 |
| 21 |
Mirandes
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -19 | 32 |
| 22 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -24 | 32 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.