Primeira Liga
May 10, 2026
Alverca
16:00
VS
Estoril
Predicted score
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Alverca
Rank#10
Played25
Points28
PPG1.12
Goal Diff-15
D
D
D
D
L
Estoril
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
4Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.5%
8.73
2-1
9.1%
11.03
1-0
8.6%
11.59
1-2
7.6%
13.16
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.71
NO
42% · 2.4
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alverca
30% · 3.33
Draw
33% · 3.06
Estoril
37% · 2.69
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.8
Under 44% · 2.25
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.69
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.01
Under 67% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alverca
D
D
D
D
L
Estoril
D
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Alverca
Stat
Estoril
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.33
#10
League Pos.
#8
28 pts
Points
34 pts
1.12
Points / Game
1.36
-15
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
1 W
Alverca
Draw
Estoril
8
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
A
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
H
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.