Serie D Serie D April 4, 2026
Aparecidense

Aparecidense

02
FT
Gama

Gama

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Aparecidense
Rank#1
Played14
Points32
PPG2.29
Goal Diff20
L W D W W
Gama
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.66
1-0
12.6%
7.91
0-1
10.1%
9.9
0-0
9.8%
10.22
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.14
NO 53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Aparecidense 45% · 2.2
Draw 37% · 2.72
Gama 18% · 5.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48 Under 33% · 3.08
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.87 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Aparecidense Aparecidense
L W D W W
Gama Gama
No form data available

Key Stats Comparison

Aparecidense
Stat
Gama
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#1
League Pos.
32 pts
Points
– pts
2.29
Points / Game
+20
Goal Diff.
+

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
1 W
Aparecidense
Draw
Gama
5 total goals
3 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record