1st Division 1st Division February 7, 2026
Apolonia Fier

Apolonia Fier

22
FT
Pogradeci

Pogradeci

We predicted

0-0 64% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 2–2

We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 64%
Team Context
Apolonia Fier
Rank#9
Played20
Points23
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-4
L D L L L
Pogradeci
3#Rank
20Played
39Points
1.95PPG
14Goal Diff
W W D W W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Apolonia Fier 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Pogradeci 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Apolonia Fier Apolonia Fier
L D L L L
Pogradeci Pogradeci
W W D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Apolonia Fier
Stat
Pogradeci
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#9
League Pos.
#3
23 pts
Points
39 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.95
-4
Goal Diff.
+14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
3 D
2 W
Apolonia Fier
Draw
Pogradeci
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Skenderbeu Korce Skenderbeu Korce
29 22 4 3 +28 70
2
Laci Laci
29 20 7 2 +32 67
3
Pogradeci Pogradeci A
29 19 7 3 +33 64
4
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Iliria Fushë-Krujë
29 9 11 9 -4 38
5
Kastrioti Krujë Kastrioti Krujë
29 10 6 13 -10 36
6
Burreli Burreli
29 8 9 12 -16 33
7
Korabi Peshkopi Korabi Peshkopi
29 8 8 13 -8 32
8
Besa Kavajë Besa Kavajë
28 8 7 13 -3 31
9
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
29 7 6 16 -15 27
10
Apolonia Fier Apolonia Fier H
29 6 8 15 -11 26
11
Lushnja Lushnja
29 5 10 14 -14 25
12
Luftëtari Luftëtari
28 3 13 12 -12 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record