First League First League April 4, 2026
Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali

21
FT
Montana

Montana

We predicted

1-0 45% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 45%
Team Context
Arda Kardzhali
Rank#7
Played27
Points38
PPG1.41
Goal Diff5
W W L D W
Montana
16#Rank
27Played
16Points
0.59PPG
-28Goal Diff
L L L L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
20.2%
4.95
0-0
15.9%
6.31
2-0
12.9%
7.77
1-1
11.5%
8.72
Both Teams To Score
YES 31% · 3.2
NO 69% · 1.45
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arda Kardzhali 52% · 1.91
Draw 38% · 2.65
Montana 10% · 10.05
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.57 Under 72% · 1.39
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82 Under 45% · 2.22
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.67 Under 88% · 1.13

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
W W L D W
Montana Montana
L L L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Arda Kardzhali
Stat
Montana
1.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.57
#7
League Pos.
#16
38 pts
Points
16 pts
1.41
Points / Game
0.59
+5
Goal Diff.
-28

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
27 21 2 4 +41 65
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
27 16 8 3 +35 56
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
27 16 5 6 +17 53
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
28 15 7 6 +19 52
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
28 11 11 6 -3 44
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
27 11 10 6 +13 43
7
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali H
28 11 8 9 +6 41
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
28 10 6 12 +0 36
9
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
27 9 8 10 +2 35
10
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
27 8 10 9 -2 34
11
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
28 8 10 10 +1 34
12
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
27 7 4 16 -16 25
13
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
28 4 11 13 -26 23
14
Beroe Beroe
28 4 10 14 -24 22
15
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
27 6 3 18 -34 21
16
Montana Montana A
28 3 7 18 -29 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record