Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 22, 2026
Arenas Armilla

Arenas Armilla

32
FT
Martos

Martos

We predicted

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Arenas Armilla
Rank#3
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff14
W W W D W
Martos
11#Rank
26Played
30Points
1.15PPG
-5Goal Diff
W D L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.6%
6.01
2-0
13.0%
7.67
1-1
11.3%
8.87
0-0
10.6%
9.41
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.57
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arenas Armilla 55% · 1.81
Draw 35% · 2.84
Martos 10% · 10.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58 Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.53 Under 34% · 2.9
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.31 Under 81% · 1.23

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
W W W D W
Martos Martos
W D L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Arenas Armilla
Stat
Martos
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.68
#3
League Pos.
#11
46 pts
Points
30 pts
1.84
Points / Game
1.15
+14
Goal Diff.
-5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla H
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos A
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record