First League First League March 21, 2026
Aresimi

Aresimi

10
FT
Vardar Skopje

Vardar Skopje

We predicted

Vardar Skopje 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Vardar Skopje 4+
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Aresimi
Rank#8
Played23
Points26
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-9
L L L D W
Vardar Skopje
1#Rank
23Played
58Points
2.52PPG
34Goal Diff
W W L D W
Most Likely Scores
Vardar Skopje 4+
10.5%
1-1
10.5%
9.54
1-2
9.5%
10.52
0-1
8.0%
12.52
Both Teams To Score
YES 61% · 1.64
NO 39% · 2.57
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Aresimi 21% · 4.84
Draw 32% · 3.14
Vardar Skopje 48% · 2.1
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Aresimi Aresimi
L L L D W
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
W W L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Aresimi
Stat
Vardar Skopje
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.81
#8
League Pos.
#1
26 pts
Points
58 pts
1.13
Points / Game
2.52
-9
Goal Diff.
+34

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Aresimi
Draw
Vardar Skopje
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje A
25 19 4 2 +37 61
2
Shkendija Shkendija
25 18 4 3 +26 58
3
Struga Struga
24 16 5 3 +38 53
4
Sileks Sileks
25 13 4 8 +21 43
5
Tikveš Tikveš
25 11 4 10 +19 37
6
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo
25 10 6 9 -7 36
7
Akademija Pandev Akademija Pandev
25 8 7 10 -11 31
8
Aresimi Aresimi H
25 8 5 12 -9 29
9
Pelister Pelister
25 6 7 12 -11 25
10
Makedonija GjP Makedonija GjP
25 6 5 14 -16 23
11
FK Rabotnicki FK Rabotnicki
24 6 4 14 -16 22
12
Shkupi 1927 Shkupi 1927
25 0 1 24 -71 1

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record