Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 March 29, 2026
Arnedo

Arnedo

30
FT
Yagüe

Yagüe

We predicted

Arnedo 4+ 41% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Arnedo 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Arnedo
Rank#3
Played27
Points53
PPG1.96
Goal Diff34
W W W W W
Yagüe
9#Rank
27Played
37Points
1.37PPG
5Goal Diff
D L W D L
Most Likely Scores
Arnedo 4+
14.9%
2-1
10.0%
10.02
1-1
9.6%
10.37
2-0
9.3%
10.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.74
NO 43% · 2.35
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Arnedo 56% · 1.78
Draw 33% · 3.08
Yagüe 11% · 8.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65 Under 39% · 2.53
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.56
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.62 Under 62% · 1.62

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arnedo Arnedo
W W W W W
Yagüe Yagüe
D L W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Arnedo
Stat
Yagüe
2.07
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#3
League Pos.
#9
53 pts
Points
37 pts
1.96
Points / Game
1.37
+34
Goal Diff.
+5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
UD Logroñés II UD Logroñés II
29 21 8 0 +58 71
2
Varea Varea
29 20 5 4 +24 65
3
Arnedo Arnedo H
29 17 8 4 +40 59
4
Oyonesa Oyonesa
29 15 6 8 +10 51
5
Calahorra Calahorra
28 13 10 5 +44 49
6
Anguiano Anguiano
29 14 7 8 +8 49
7
Agoncillo Agoncillo
29 13 7 9 +15 46
8
Haro Deportivo Haro Deportivo
29 13 6 10 +6 45
9
Yagüe Yagüe A
29 9 11 9 +2 38
10
Vianés Vianés
29 9 8 12 -6 35
11
San Marcial San Marcial
29 9 7 13 -15 34
12
Berceo Berceo
29 8 9 12 -8 33
13
Comillas Comillas
29 9 4 16 -23 31
14
La Calzada La Calzada
28 8 6 14 -15 30
15
Pradejón Pradejón
29 7 8 14 -16 29
16
Villegas Villegas
29 7 5 17 -27 26
17
Autol Autol
29 3 4 22 -52 13
18
Peña Balsamaiso Peña Balsamaiso
29 0 11 18 -45 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record