Primeira Liga
April 6, 2026
Arouca
17:45
VS
Estoril
Predicted score
Estoril 4+
33% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
33%
Team Context
Arouca
Rank#11
Played25
Points26
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-21
L
L
W
L
W
Estoril
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
4Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Estoril 4+
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
10.53
1-2
8.5%
11.78
2-1
7.9%
12.72
Both Teams To Score
YES
67% · 1.49
NO
33% · 3.06
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Arouca
40% · 2.52
Draw
32% · 3.17
Estoril
29% · 3.46
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 3.0
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17
Under 14% · 7.01
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23
Under 55% · 1.81
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arouca
L
L
W
L
W
Estoril
D
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Arouca
Stat
Estoril
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.79
#11
League Pos.
#8
26 pts
Points
34 pts
1.04
Points / Game
1.36
-21
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Arouca
Draw
Estoril
24
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
A
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
H
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.