First League First League March 15, 2026
Arsenal Tivat

Arsenal Tivat

10
FT
Bokelj

Bokelj

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Arsenal Tivat
Rank#8
Played24
Points26
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-11
L L L W W
Bokelj
9#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-11Goal Diff
L L L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.35
1-0
11.6%
8.62
2-1
9.5%
10.55
2-0
9.2%
10.88
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.96
NO 49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Arsenal Tivat 48% · 2.08
Draw 33% · 3.02
Bokelj 19% · 5.31
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.06 Under 52% · 1.94
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.78
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.76 Under 73% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
L L L W W
Bokelj Bokelj
L L L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Arsenal Tivat
Stat
Bokelj
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#8
League Pos.
#9
26 pts
Points
21 pts
1.08
Points / Game
0.88
-11
Goal Diff.
-11

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sutjeska Sutjeska
27 17 4 6 +20 55
2
Mornar Mornar
27 14 6 7 +13 48
3
Dečić Dečić
27 12 7 8 +0 43
4
Petrovac Petrovac
27 11 8 8 +10 41
5
Buducnost Podgorica Buducnost Podgorica
27 11 5 11 +3 38
6
Jezero Jezero
27 9 7 11 -3 34
7
Mladost DG Mladost DG
27 10 3 14 -7 33
8
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat H
27 8 8 11 -10 32
9
Bokelj Bokelj A
27 5 10 12 -10 25
10
Jedinstvo Jedinstvo
27 6 6 15 -16 24

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record