Premier League
April 11, 2026
Arsenal
11:30
VS
Bournemouth
Predicted score
Arsenal 4+
43% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Arsenal
Rank#1
Played30
Points67
PPG2.23
Goal Diff37
W
W
W
D
D
Bournemouth
9#Rank
29Played
40Points
1.38PPG
-2Goal Diff
D
D
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Arsenal 4+
17.0%
2-0
14.2%
7.04
1-0
13.1%
7.66
3-0
10.3%
9.7
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.38
NO
58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arsenal
62% · 1.63
Draw
29% · 3.48
Bournemouth
10% · 10.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88
Under 47% · 2.14
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.36
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.25
Under 69% · 1.45
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
D
D
Bournemouth
D
D
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Arsenal
Stat
Bournemouth
2.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#1
League Pos.
#9
67 pts
Points
40 pts
2.23
Points / Game
1.38
+37
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Arsenal
Draw
Bournemouth
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
H
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
A
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.